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Week 6: Dan Caesar's NFL Capsules
10/15/2006
***Early Games***
BENGALS AT BUCS
Noon
Line: Bengals by 4 1/2
Synopsis: Cincy was off last week, giving it plenty of time to think about its first loss of the year, a blowout by New England. But it has the perfect path to get back on track, facing a winless bunch with a rookie QB (Bruce Gradkowski) in his second start. Cincy likes to pass, but look for a big day from RB Rudi Johnson. He'll play against the NFC's worst run defense (163.2 yards a game allowed). Bengals need to shore up defense, allowing 344.8 yards a game, fourth worst in the AFC.
Bottom line/pick: Gradkowski showed signs that he could be good in his debut, but he'll have to generate a lot of points to win this one and you can't count on that.
BENGALS 26, BUCS 17.
***
TITANS AT REDSKINS
Noon
Line: Redskins by 10 1/2
Synopsis: 'Skins try to rebound from a lackluster loss last week to the Giants, and should do so against a winless foe that also is breaking in a rookie QB (Vince Young). Although Tennessee somehow held Indianapolis to 14 points and 320 yards last week, it's allowing 375 yards and 27 points a game, both near the bottom in the NFL. Washington will try to rattle Young, who has just a 46.6 passer rating. Redskins quarterback Mark Brunell has won six of his last nine at home, with 15 TD passes and just 3 INT.
Bottom line/pick: Stuck in the NFC East cellar, Washington is in dire need of a win. This is the day.
REDSKINS 26, TITANS 13.
***
TEXANS AT COWBOYS
Noon
Line: Cowboys by 13
Synopsis: Houston is coming off its first win, at Miami, but might have lost some of the steam because it was off last week. Dallas wishes it had been off, as it lost in Philly. There's a QB controversy brewing in Big D, but Drew Bledsoe still has the job after coach Bill Parcells blamed the offensive line for his problems. But if Bledose struggles against this defense -- 435 yards a game allowed, a whopping 97 more than the league's second-worst team -- a change might be made.
Bottom line/pick: The Battle of Texas has a distinct Dallas flavor. But Houston can stay fairly close in this one, as Dallas plays the T.O.-controversy game.
COWBOYS 24, TEXANS 17.
***
BILLS AT LIONS
Noon
Line: Bills by 1 1/2
Synopsis: Will Detroit ever turn things around? If the Lions didn't already have enough trouble, they might be without three of their five starting offensive linemen -- Damien Woody, Ross Verba and Rex Tucker. Buffalo tries to get back to .500, and likes to hand the ball to Willis McGahee. But one of the Lions' better aspects is defending the run; foes manage just 96.2 yards a game on the ground.
Bottom line/pick: Other than a 27-point loss to Chicago, the Lions have had a chance to win their other games, but have found a way to lose. Detroit's not going to go winless. This might as well be the day.
LIONS 17, BILLS 16.
***
SEAHAWKS AT RAMS
Noon
Line: Seahawks by 3
Synopsis: A showdown for first place in the NFC West. Seattle figures to be without RB Shaun Alexander (broken foot), and the Seahawks managed just 77 yards on the ground in their last outing -- the first he missed. But that was vs. the monster Chicago defense. The Rams' rush defense is No. 20 in the league (120.6 yards a game allowed) so Maurice Morris and company should fare better. The Rams are living on turnovers, and Seattle is prone to losing the ball (eight giveaways in four games).
Bottom line/pick: Look for Seattle to pass more to compensate for Alexander's absence, but ailing WR Bobby Engram isn't going to play. Rams can pull upset.
RAMS 23, SEAHAWKS 20.
***
EAGLES AT SAINTS
Noon
Line: Eagles by 3
Synopsis: Philly flies in after its big win over Dallas, with the Terrell Owens hype behind it. But it faces a resilient bunch of Saints, who battled back to beat Tampa last week as Reggie Bush won it with his first NFL touchdown, on a late punt return. The Saints should be able to move the ball, as Philly's defense allows 335 yards a game and has the seventh-worst pass defense in the league (230.2 yards a game). Philly is 2-0 on the road, but this is its first real test. It's wins were vs. SF and Houston. Eagles WR Donte Stallworth (hamstring) isn't expected to play
Bottom line/pick: Saints are 2-0 at home, and face a team primed for a letdown.
PICK OF THE WEEK (vs. point spread): SAINTS 23, EAGLES 20.
***
PANTHERS AT RAVENS
Noon
Line: Ravens by 3
Synopsis: Baltimore's defense is fierce, but the offense has gone stagnant. The Ravens have scored only one TD in the last 114 minutes they have played, and have scored a grand total of 31 points in their past three games. Quarterback Steve McNair has been intercepted six times already, and is the 13th-ranked quarterback in the AFC. But thanks to the defense, the Ravens are 4-1. They get a test here, as Carolina has won three in a row despite the offense not yet dominating. Running back DeAngelo Williams has an anile injury and will not be able to play in this one.
Bottom line/pick: Tough call, so we'll go with the upset.
PANTHERS 17, RAVENS 13.
***
GIANTS AT FALCONS
Noon
Line: Falcons by 3
Synopsis: A dandy matchup, showcasing Eli Manning's passing talents for NY and Michael Vick's running skills for Atlanta. New York is just 2-2 and has been torched for an average of 33 points on the road. That's not a good sign against the team that scored 32 in its last home game. Atlanta churns out 234 yards per game on the ground, tops in the league, but New York permits just 86.5 yards, which ranks sixth in the NFC.
Bottom line/pick: Atlanta gets its robust ground game rolling in the Georgia Dome. Simply don't trust New York on the road.
FALCONS 30, GIANTS 23.
***Late Games***
DOLPHINS AT JETS
3:15 p.m.
Line: Jets by 2
Synopsis: The Disappointment Bowl, as both teams are struggling. At least NY has a win -- two, in fact -- but was blasted by Jacksonville 41-0 last week. Miami goes with quarterback Joey Harrington for the second time, as Daunte Culpepper simply is not sufficiently recovered from major knee surgery. Jets quarterback Chad Pennington was off to a solid start this year, but two of his passes were intercepted last week, leading to touchdowns. The Jets' weak running game (3.2 yards a carry, tied for 29th in the NFL) goes against one of the NFL's best run defenses.
Bottom line/pick: New York rebounds and sends dismal Miami to 1-5.
JETS 23, DOLPHINS 13.
***
CHARGERS AT 49ers
3:15 p.m.
Line: Chargers by 10
Synopsis: San Diego unleashes its LaDainian Tomlinson-led ground attack of 176 yards a game, tops in the AFC, against the NFC's second-worst run defense (126.2 yards per outing). Interestingly, SF's Frank Gore is tied with the Rams' Steven Jackson for the NFL rushing lead (465 yards). But San Diego has the NFL's top run defense (66.5 yards an outing allowed). San Francisco is expected to be without its top two offensive linemen: Guard Larry Allen (knee) and tackle Jonas Jennings (finger) still are injured.
Bottom line/pick: San Diego could get caught looking ahead to an AFC West showdown with KC next weekend. Still, it has enough to prevail in this one.
CHARGERS 24, 49ers 17.
***
CHIEFS AT STEELERS
3:15 p.m.
Line: Steelers by 6 1/2
Synopsis: Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger has been woeful so far this year (0 TD passes, five interceptions, passer rating of 34.3), and this doesn't seem to be the ideal spot for a breakout, as Kansas City allows just 147.8 yards a game through the air, No. 4 in the NFL. The Chiefs again go with QB Damon Huard, as Trent Green continues to recover from a severe concussion. Huard engineered a big comeback win last week vs. Arizona. Chiefs RB Larry Johnson is expected to start despite suffering a neck injury in that one, but kick returner Dante Hall is ailing and might not play.
Bottom line/pick: Pittsburgh gets back on track here, but not with ease.
STEELERS 20, CHIEFS 16.
***Sunday Night***
RAIDERS AT BRONCOS
7:20 p.m.
Line: Broncos by 15
Synopsis: Denver's defense is rolling, with a dominant outing last week vs. Baltimore, and now faces the woeful Raiders, who are the big frontrunner for the title of worst team in the league. With QB Aaron Brooks still out (chest injury), Andrew Walters is expected to start again despite turning over the ball three times in a 10-play span last week and being pulled for Marques Tuiasosopo. QB Jake Plummer is 5-1 with a 99.3 passer rating against the Raiders since joining Denver.
Bottom line/pick: The first stinker for NBC's new Sunday night "Football in America'' package. This is more like Blowout Bowl.
PICK OF THE WEEK (to win): BRONCOS 30, RAIDERS 10.
***Monday Night***
BEARS AT CARDINALS
7:40 p.m. Monday.
Line: Bears by 11
Synopsis: Rookie quarterback Matt Leinart had a decent debut last week for Arizona, but that was against the Kansas City defense. Now he must face the Bears, who give up a league-low 7.2 points per outing. And Leinart won't have key wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald to throw the ball to, because he's out (hamstring). The Bears allow just 76 yards a game on the ground, which isn't good news for Cardinals running back Edgerrin James, who is averaging a career-low 3.1 yards per carry as the offensive line has beenwoeful.
Bottom line/pick: Chi-ca-go, Chi-ca-go romps in the newly named University of Phoenix Stadium.
BEARS 23, CARDINALS 9.
***
DAN CAESAR'S RECORD
Last Week: 10-4-0
Season: 51-23-0
VS. POINT SPREAD
Last Week: 4-7-3
Season: 34-34-6
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Online NFL betting sites allows you to bring the excitement of the Vegas casino sportsbook into your own home. A straight NFL point spread wager aka "the NFL Line" is the most common form of NFL betting today, but can find many other opportunities. You can place futures bets on events that are scheduled days, weeks, or months down the road. You can also make parlay wagers that give you the opportunity for major payoffs with little risk. You make one bet on two or more teams (up to 12) and if all the teams in a parlay win, you win. If things don't go your way, you are still only out for one wager.
One of the most interesting NFL betting options is the If bet. This allows you to place multiple (2 to 7) bets on one ticket with each successive bet hinging on the one before it. For instance, you can bet on a team to win in each round of the playoffs. If it pans out, you hit on all your wagers. However, even if they only win the first two rounds, you still receive a payout for those games.
A parlay wager gives you the opportunity to win a large sum of money without taking a major risk. A parlay allows you to place bets on two or more teams or propositions that are not dependent on each other as in an If bet. If all of your teams on a parlay win, you win. If even one team loses, you lose. However, you are still only placing one wager, so you are not out for each game you bet on.
You can make parlay bets with up to 12 selections. This gives you incredible betting power with a minimal risk. The odds on specific games and the parlay as a whole are better than you will find from most online and traditional sportsbook services.
In addition to placing standard parlay bets you can also make teaser wagers. Teasers function in the same way as parlays, but they have adjusted odds that favor the bettor. This is a rare type of wager in the world of betting, as most sites only adjust odds in their own favor.
To win consistently you will need in depth information on games, players, and more. This will give you a better understanding of why specific NFL parlay odds are set. It will also enable you to spot something the odds makers might have missed and use it to your advantage.
One of the exciting and aspects of NFL online betting information sites and you can get up-to-date sports statistics and news, before placing all kinds of wagers on NFL events, ranging from proposition wagers to point buying, and a whole lot more in between.
NFL Football Odds
When people first get involved in sports betting, they do not always realize that odds on games or propositions are not set in stone. Different casinos and online sportsbook services will often feature football odds that are slightly varied. In most cases, adjustments have been made to favor the house. Therefore, when you choose a Sports Book, you want to find one that gives you the best opportunity to be successful.
Sportsbook's update their NFL odds regularly based on the situations surrounding a game, taking into account injuries and other factors that can alter one team's ability to compete. They even offer teaser bets that are basically parlay wagers with odds adjusted to favor the bettor.
Along with supplying you with fair, current NFL football odds, a sportsbook like VIPsports.com offers an in depth guide each type of wager that is available to you, so you understand exactly what type of risk you are taking and what type of payoff you can expect if you should win.
NFL Line
The smoothest, most efficient, and most reliable betting line in the world is the NFL Line. What exactly can you do with this popular NFL betting line? The breadth of options is interesting, to say the least. You can engage in pointspread wagers, over/under wagers, halftime wagers, quarter wagers, straightforward moneyline wagers, point buying wagers, and proposition wagers.
NFL Odds
The wild world of sports demands an ever-increasing attention to detail. Forget the political pundits and talking-heads; keeping abreast of the details of one's favorite sport is a full-time commitment. Thankfully, the advent of information technology has revolutionized sports viewing and, yes . . . sports gambling. The Internet not only has opened the door to comprehensive sports research, but also lightning fast and secure betting.
A perfect example is online wagers on professional football. You can find up-to-date NFLodds at many sites. The only dilemma faced by gamblers is sifting through the junk sites and finding a superior and reliable medium for them to check NFL odds, place their bets, and receive prompt pay-outs. Fully licensed and critically acclaimed website like VIPSports is a godsend for gamblers who care about professionalism, discretion, and efficiency.
The most popular form of betting remains pointspreads but there is much more, including moneyline wagers (you bet on a price, as opposed to a pointspread) and over/under wagers (the sportsbook predicts a total of the two teams score, and you must select whether or not the actual score will be over or under it).
NFL Betting Pick
The amount of NFL betting on the books in Nevada is a drop in the bucket compared to bets made on professional football online, where making your NFL betting pick is almost as much fun as raking in your winnings. Almost.
The savvy pro football gambler knows where to find his NFL betting information on the Internet. You can zero in on your NFL betting picks using the web's detailed, comprehensive, and constantly updated news, schedules, events calendars, sports statistics, and betting lines.
NFL Point Spread
Many people start with the NFL point spread, and they soon find out just how enticing the many options in wagers can be. If you are interested in choices beyond just pointspread wagers, you have come to the right place. For example, have you ever heard of proposition, or exotic wagering? These allow you to bet on pretty much any specific aspect of the game, from who will score last to what the total number of fumbles will be.
NFL Betting Tip
The majority of online NFL sportsbook sites are eager to take your money without giving you any advantage or any advice. They serve only as betting services and do not supply the bettor with insight into wager options or offer a single NFL tip.
Site like SportsAction.com and the SportsNewsNetwork also breakdown match-ups, so you have access to all of the information that is available to those who are setting the lines. You can study statistics of specific teams and players, and even look into past games that draw similarities to the current game you are betting on. You can track who is hot and who is not, and you can discern what is at stake for each player.
You can use the information from SportsAction.com and the SportsNewsNetwork and apply them to a wide range of bets. Sites like VIPSports offer straight wagers, parlays, If bets, and more. Unlike many online sportsbook sites, they give you the opportunity to place futures bets prior to and throughout the football season. You can even place proposition (exotic) wagers on what will occur throughout a specific game such as over/under on passing yardage, who will score first, and whether or not a QB will throw an INT.
NFL Football Betting
Many sports fans believe that the only way to place a bet on an NFL game is to hop a flight to Vegas and pay a visit to the sportsbook room at one of the casinos on the Strip. That is not the case. There are a number of online sportsbook sites that offer a variety of wager options for football, basketball, baseball, and much more.
When engaging in online NFL betting there are several issues you need to address before making a bet. You'll want the best odds and the best wagering limits available.
NFL Football Betting Line
When you study an NFL betting line, you will get a clear picture of how much you need to bet to make a specific amount of money. You will also gain insight into the general take on a game. An NFL line highlights favorites, underdogs, and games that are considered to be even. A number of online sportsbook sites give bettors nothing more than an NFL line to work with. This can lead bettors, especially those who are new to the game, to make uninformed decisions.
You need current NFL lines that are updated regularly up until a short time before kickoff. However, you also need knowledge about each game so you can study every aspect of a game before you place a wager.
Whether you use all of the stats and breakdowns at your disposal or you "go from the gut" as many bettors choose to do, you have a number of wager options to choose from. Straight bets based on point spreads are the most common, but you can also make futures bets based on odds. This means you can put money on a division or conference winner before the teams have even been decided. Odds for winners will, of course, change throughout the season, but if you pick an underdog early, you can come away with a large payoff from a very small investment.
NFL Football Point Spread
The most common bets placed from pre-season through the presentation of the Lombardi trophy are NFL football point spread bets. Point spread bets are some of the easiest to understand and they are a great way for casual bettors to get into the game, because they do not require a substantial investment as some more complex or multiple-wagers do.
When you make bets based on an NFL football point spread, you want to make sure you are using a system that makes regular updates and does not adjust spreads to overly favor the house. While the spreads in Vegas are widely known, there are sportsbook services that skew those spreads to make it much more difficult for large payouts to occur.
Before you place a bet, find out as much information on team and player stats, injuries, current hot streaks as you can. In short, you can go beyond the spread to find out what is really happening in a game.
Football Betting & Handicapping
NFL betting action begins the day after the Super Bowl with NFL futures betting on next year's championship. Weekly you will find early NFL betting lines available before the Sunday night game on ESPN is over. The NFL sports betting business centers on the posting of NFL betting lines.
Take any 'sport, most people pick football, betting MLB or NBA at a Vegas sport book just doesn't have the same thrill. In recent years sports betting on football has been made increasingly available by free NFL betting lines. NFL betting odds are no longer hidden in the back of the newspaper - betting, online betting and online sports betting in particular have created a growth industry in sports betting lines and information. Though not sports betting odds we can find betting formalized by localities starting in the late 60's through off track betting's horse race betting parlors and telephone accounts. So it all starts with the betting odds or the betting lines. The betting line or point spread betting is most popular in both college and pro football betting.
But football is not alone. Vegas odds, the official sports odds have popularized 'March Madness betting beyond the office bracket pool. NCAA tournament odds and it's popularity has spilled over to include ncaa basketball odds on most major college games throught the season. Of course college footbal betting was football betting before NFL betting took off. Now with pro footbball, there is 'internet football betting from the kcik off of preseason ganes in July through the end of January. For college football - football odds betting or football betting line is available througout the week prior to the games being played.
Unlike football, baseball odds or baseball betting odds are stated not in points but in a money line. Major league baseball odds may also include a run line which also states the odds in a money line. The baseball run line option was for a long while only available in Las Vegas. Baseball odds can now be found online including baseball odds on the championship or future baseball odds as they are alternatively known. Though some analysis has been done on baseball betting odds history most baseball gambling odds selections are made influenced by the starting and releif pitchers performance. Still in post season you can find and wager on the baseball world series odds.
Football picks - pro football picks and college football picks can be found on many sites on the internet and have been a staple in newspapers throughout the country for years. Even the networks - ESPN sports, CBS sports, Fox sports - that cover football offer college pro picks from their anaysts on pregame shows. Free football picks including free NFL football picks and free college football picks should be tracked before making them real football picks betting. College football preseason picks for the national championship are stated in mony line odds. College football game picks, pro football weekly picks and college football bowl picks would all be stated in pointspreads.
Sports Betting Odds
An introduction to football betting odds, basketball betting odds, baseball betting odds and hockey betting odds (including ncaa basketball betting odds and ncaa football betting odds).
For years the betting odds could rightfully be called the "las vegas sports betting odds". That is where the line originated And although the sport betting odds would be republished in newspapers accross the country they were the "las vegas betting odds". Early on, believe it or not, people actually bet baseball. The sports betting odds on baseball were local - often in game - pitch by pitch wagering in the stands. This is not what we would expect today as sport book betting odds. The NFL betting odds are the most widely followed sports betting line odds. With the advent of the Internet we now have online sport book betting odds including but not limited to online betting football odds, online sports betting odds on baseball, online sports betting odds on NBA and NHL betting odds.Online sports betting odds have begun to dispalce vegas betting odds as the standard. For variety and access, online betting odds, allows players to compare betting odds whether that be nba betting odds, ncaa betting odds or online baseball betting odds. In the end, either on line or Vegas super bowl betting odds and march madness final four betting odds create the greatest attention.
College Football
This offseason the college football news did not focus on the upcoming college football schedule. No, there was more to the headlines. One hot topic was would Boston College football and college football's Miami Hurricanes jump the Big East for the ACC. The spotlight was also on the off the field predicament of college football coach Mike Price who was about to walk in the shoes of Bear Bryant with the Alabama college football program.. There is even the highly rated college football recruit and former strating QB McPhearson of FSU accused of betting on his own games.
Luckily the machine keeps going: college football's spring games were played, college football recruiting continued and fitting in junior college football transfers to a new defensive shceme - well you get the picture. College football history is more than just the college football team. It is the historic black college football programs, the college football mascots, the revered college football stadiums. That is american college football. Even with all of the attention and pressure, a college football coaching job is still a coveted spot in the nation's sports pecking order. Tradition of course also runs deep. College football rivalry games are time honred a lifetime memory for the college football player. For the hard core fan the publication of the first college football magazine of the season starts the hunt for the (sort of still mythical) college football championship.
Of course no talk of the raod to becoming college football's national champions wuld be or should be complete without understand the BCS. The BCS is combination of college football polls and college football rankings by computer topped off with difficulty of schedule. This aspect, the value of tough opponent is decided by a future college football schedule which is set year's in advance. More programs have given up the cupcake scheduling of early season non-conference games. In doing so many college football rosters have also forfeited any opportunity to develop playiing a team in games no tougher than a college football workout. Why would a program do this? Simple - college football revenue from the the bowl games. Without a college football playoff system any time in the future the real college football score will be kept and published beginning each October by the BCS.
College football betting is also a fall tradition. The college football betting line is offered in nearly all of the Division 1-A games. Professional handicappers offer free college football picks, college football previews, college football ATS records against their opponets, college football ATS stats season to date and longer histroical periods.