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Free Picks & News October 6, 2003
Live NFL Lines NFL Odds
Live College Football Lines College Football Odds
College Bowl Picks Odds Lines: 2003 Bowl Schedule
College Football Picks Odds Lines: Football Betting Myths
Knowing the strength of a team is worthless is you don't also know the strength of the opponent. There's also an enormous difference between sports and sports gambling. Many people who know sports quite well are unable to effectively transfer that knowledge to pointspreads or wagering.
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College Football Picks Odds Lines: Handicapping Books
Understanding the line (line movements and money line wagering the importance of offensive scoring and control of the line of scrimmage); defensive play at the line; the combination of rush and pass offenses; schedule analysis; power ratings; and class ratings. He covers fundamental handicapping in depth (offensive and defensive style matchups); the emotional advantage (homecoming, revenge, etc.); emotional disadvantages (the game following a last minute loss, sandwich games, third straight emotional game...
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College Football Picks Odds Lines: NFL vs College Football Handicapping
While you may never see a three-touchdown favorite in the NFL, lines of -30, -40, or even -50 are not unheard of in college ball. It's that type of disparity which makes college totals so unpredictable.
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College Football Picks Odds Lines: Strength of Schedule (SOS)
It also reports that parity continues to grow with 6 conferences represented in the Top 14 with the PAC 10 taking 4 spots.
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College Football Picks Odds Lines: Nation TV Schedule
College Football Picks Odds Lines: Early 2003 Season Preview
Can Ohio State repeat as national champions? Can the Miami Hurricanes reload? Who are the 2003 Heisman Trophy front runners? Who will be the surprise team this year?
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NFL Picks Odds Lines: NFL vs College Football Handicapping
The perception that oddsmaking and bookmaking practices must be similar for college football and the NFL because both games use the same shaped ball is something along the lines of assuming there's no difference between thoroughbred and harness racing because both sports employ horses.
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NFL Picks Odds Lines: Football Betting Myths
Bettors have the edge during preseason and early in the regular season - The line is created to beat the public - Lines get balanced action - Bookmakers have inside info - Wiseguys bet more on games they really like - Statistical wagering trends are important
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NFL Football Picks Odds Lines: Handicapping Books
Analyzing the pointspread; How to establish offensive and defensive rankings to predict scores; the impact of home field advantage; the motivational factor; “must-win situations; sandwich games; injuries and how to evaluate them; what “key pointspreads” are; betting totals; importance of money management; parlay
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NFL Preseason Picks Odds Lines: NFL Preseason Handicapping
It used to be that bookmakers and professional players had a significant edge over casual bettors because they had access to more meaningful information. However, thanks largely to the development of the Internet, unsophisticated bettors have that same access. The key now is not access to information but the use and interpretation of that information.
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NFL Picks Odds Lines:NFL Preseason TV Schedule
NFL Preseason Picks Odds Lines: NFL Preseason Schedule
NFL Picks Odds Lines: Quarteback Database
The Quarterback Database is a record of all moves made by a quarterback during his career. The QB D-base begins with the 2002 class of pro quarterback prospects, and will be updated regularly. Players who have not signed with a pro team since leaving college have been omitted.
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Sports Betting Handicapping Odds & Picks: Tony George On Handicapping
It takes big dollars, hard work, years of experience, and total dedication to be a legit capper in todays world. There are many wanna be's, there are many pretenders on the Internet, none found here. To get to a level of 12 years in the business, be ready for a some HUGE ups and downs, character assasinations, sleepless nights and numereous dollars spent to promote yourself ONLY after you have proven over a couple of seasons , say 3 seasons in 3 sports full time, that you have the results that will win people money and they can trust you in good times and bad. Remember, you are only as good as your last play!
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NFL Football Handicapping Picks: NFL Parity
The line is based on public perception for the most part. If you go with Vegas and against the strong public sentiment, and against the logical choice, more times than not you will win. Now I know that sounds like a cop out way to handicap, and I do not operate that way, but remember, in essence you are, or your service is, handicapping the line in each game they post.
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College Football Handicapping Picks: BCS MOV
In 2002 the BCS changed the “margin of victory” rule, which in essence means that no matter who much you win by, it makes no difference to the rankings. A win is a win. This will no doubt affect the outcome of some games during the season as far as a pointspread value is concerned, and may or may not reflect in the odds set by Vegas Oddsmakers especially towards seasons end in college football. At seasons end, the major TV games with bowl and national title implications are the perfect ploy for Vegas to set up lines to make you pay for the teams involved in these games, because they are in the national spotlight and they are “big” games
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NFL Football Picks: NFL Football Handicapping
When a line looks to good to be true, it usually isn’t. Never look at public consensus polls on games, because the public is almost always wrong. You would be tons of units ahead if all you did was to go against public line moves across the board every week. When a NFL game jumps 2 or 3 points on Sunday before kickoff, look the other way for value and even to middle the game if you were on the other side early
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Baseball Handicapping Picks: Are you shopping lines yet?
Line value is important, very important. I handicap opening lines. I always have my own bets in NO LATER than 11 AM CST for Hoops or Bases. I bet my football plays either Thursday or Friday for NFL and College. Early bird gets the worm on line value, have NO illusions! I refuse to let an uninformed public drive a line that I then have to play, or force a play that has lost line value.
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Betting Oddd Lines Spreads: Are you shopping lines?
I see numerous posts on the Internet about a 3 game card that was posted a winner at 2-1 ATS, when in fact you may have went 1-2 ATS. I feel bad when this happens, and in the old days it used to happen to me occasionaly, BUT you have every opportunity to INCREASE youre odds of winning by having 2 to 3 outlets to shop your lines around.
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College Football Trends: Show Me the Money: Miami U - Happy to Oblige: ACC
Many have missed the boat in regards to what the issue at hand is? I hear many talk about where the ACC will rank strength-wise if they are able to woo these teams to their conference. Don’t you think we should be concerned about how devastating this will be to the Big East?? How weak will this conference be if these teams are to leave??? Personally speaking, I can see this conference disband over the new few years: Each remaining school going to other conferences.
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Baseball Betting Odds Lines: A Little Moneyline Math
This is the win percentage needed to reach the break-even point when betting spreads and totals in football and basketball. I can hear the collective groan from here as you remember why you hated high school algebra but I implore you to spend a few minutes on this if you want to be profitable at baseball or any other sport.
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Baseball World Series Odds: FUTURES FLUCTUATE
Bob Scucci, race and sports director at the Stardust, the Boyd Group's
flagship property, says the day the Chicago Cubs win the World Series will
mark the blackest moment in the history of Las Vegas sports books.
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BASEBALL PICKS: BASEBALL HANDICAPPING - Timing is Everything
Baseball handicapping has no place for the part time handicapper. To be a successfull and profitable baseball handicapper attention to detail on a daily basis is essential. The guy who picks up the paper one morning and decides to bet some baseball may get lucky on occasion but over the long haul he will lose a lot of money. The average guy will tend to chase underdogs trying to catch those attractive prices or dig a huge hole playing the obvious favorites. Did you know you can hit 2 of 3 big favorites all week long and still not make a profit.
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NBA PLAYOFF PICKS: A HANDICAPPING SIX PACK
"From Jump: Home Court Advantage"...."Big Dogs with Bite"...."Team trends don't work...except"..."Refining the flip-flop"..."The Total Picture" and "Double Class A, home or away?"
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BASEBALL PICKS: BASEBALL PROFITS WHILE OTHERS FALL
In baseball the team ONLY has to win to cash tickets. It comes down to some real simple items to look at to get started, mainly pitching and hitting, that is the bottom line in the simplest of terms. I also look at slugging percentage and on base percentage and then a few intangibles...the reason numerous sportsbooks post a 20-cent line is they KNOW that sharp players will take them for money in baseball, and it minimizes the profits of those players, and maximizes the losses for the books.
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NBA PLAYOFF PICKS: The Zig-Zag Theory
The loser-of-the-last or Zig-Zag Theory, is a handicapping angle that has been around for a number of years. "Loser-of-the-last is simple," said Las Vegas handicapper Mike Lee. "It means you just play the straight-up loser of the last game. The logic is the
team that won the previous game mentally lets up and the loser becomes a little desperate and tries harder."
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BASEBALL ODDS LINES PICKS: BASEBALL IS BACK
As a bettor, why is baseball so good? .. where else can you bet with such a low vig?
The dime line in baseball has to be the best deal in all of sports wagering.
With the house take in the 1-2% range, rather than the 4-5%
range of other sports, baseball moneylines offer a lot of value.
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NBA Playoffs: Big Series Favorites Rule (Usually)
Baseball offers great value for sports bettors: Lately big
favorites like Pedro Martinez, Randy Johnson and Greg Maddux have gone
down with a thud. However, one place where the big favorites win a high
percentage of the time is the NBA playoffs. Youll see some extremely
high series prices, and with good reason: the big-dogs rarely rise up
and slay the NBA goliaths.
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NBA Playoffs Picks: Regular Season Domination? Fugget-About-It!
With the NBA playoffs commencing, many sports analysts will examine how the teams faired against each other during the regular season. This provides interesting analysis that can give you insight into little details. For example, if Tim Duncan or Shaq average 44 ppg in four regular season contests against Seattle, that could be explained by the lack of a quality defensive center, which may suggest those centers could have big games in the postseason.
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HOPE STILL SPRINGS ETERNAL FOR BASEBALL BETTORS
Baseball, which runs six full months and has at least a couple teams on the
field on all but a few days of the campaign, can be especially tough to beat.
Some bettors skip playing the season's first month or so to scrutinize and
size up the situation.
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NFL Week 1 Odds Spreads Lines
There's nothing like the smell of pigskins to warm the heart and make the blood flow. We got a few whiffs of that delightful aroma again this week after the NFL released its 2003 schedule and The Palms and Imperial Palace became the city's first establishments to put up NFL Week 1 lines and odds. They're among an ever-dwindling number of independent properties in the city. Three men from each establishment participated in a roundtable-type discussion in which they individually presented their own numbers.
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College Football Futures 2004
The next few weeks, at least a few fellows -- probably a very few -- will be lurking in the shadows perusing Las Vegas betting boards for the latest odds on the 2004 Sugar Bowl. The last of the bowl season games will be played Jan. 4 in the Louisiana Superdome and determine the BCS national champion.
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College Bowl Picks: Handicapping the Bowl Games
Numerous teams come limping into the Bowls games with seasons end injuries that hurt them in the regular season to key players, HOWEVER looking at the injury reports will make you money knowing whether or not those skill players after 3 or 4 weeks off are healed and wanting to make a statement in a Bowl Game
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