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NFL Pro Football Don Best: NFL Betting

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Overview: Winning Tools For NFL Pro Football Betting

Don Best: NFL Betting
by Don Best Sports

(Editor's note: Don Best Sports is a leader in sports betting informationa and what we consider to be one of the MUST HAVE on-line bookmakrs.) Football took over from baseball as America's game about twenty years ago and it just keeps getting more popular. When it comes to betting on football, everybody considers themselves something of an expert. If you've been a success wagering on football in the past, more power to you. By all means don't change what you're doing. We are going to give you guidelines that have been proven to be very helpful. They may not fit your betting style and they're not guaranteed to get you rich. First let's make one thing perfectly clear. In my opinion, any casual bettor who claims to beat pro football on a regular basis is a liar. College football, maybe, the pros, no way!

1) SHOP FOR THE BEST NUMBER
We cannot emphasize this enough. You can't go into one sportsbook, check out the lines on the games you're planning on betting and plunk down your money. Unless you're using the Don Best computerized line service and know what the numbers are at every casino you have to expend a little shoe leather and shop around. You can escape laying or taking the worst of it once and a while but over the course of a long season it will drain your bankroll.

2) NEVER LAY MORE THAN 7 POINTS IN THE NFL
You can get away with laying big lumber in college. The talent level between the top teams and the bottom teams and between different conferences, is huge. In the NFL, as the old saying goes, "on any given Sunday anybody can win" or more important in our case, cover the spread. Please don't fall in love with the "public" teams that are double- digit favorites, week after week. They will destroy your Sunday afternoon, not to mention your wallet.

3) TOTALS-BET OVER EARLY AND UNDER LATE
A healthy majority of recreational bettors are over players so it makes sense, especially early in the season when weather is rarely a factor, to bet under later in the week after the totals have been driven up. This holds especially true for TV games where the odds makers automatically inflate the total, knowing the public loves to bet anything they can watch.

4) USE POWER RATINGS
Picking winners in football is a game of numbers. You don't have to know the name of every starting quarterback in the NFL or how many returning starters a college team has compared to their opponent. What you should be looking for is a hole in the line as put up by the bookmakers and the best way to do this is find a power rating that you're comfortable with and stick with it. There are a ton of newsletters, or tout sheets if you prefer, who publish weekly power ratings. In most cases you can line your garbage can with their selections, but check out how close their numbers are to the posted line. If a publication has an eight to ten point difference on every game, chuck it. This isn't what you're looking for. Don't look to come up with a play for every game on the board or every game on TV. Try to be selective and find three or four solid plays that you feel confident with.

5) NEVER PLAY PARLAYS OR TEASERS
A lot of you aren't going to like this one, but it is a logical rule of thumb. Do not bet parlays or teasers. If you've ever been in any of the fancy new Las Vegas betting palaces, remember those plush chairs you're reclining in and those "free" drinks that scantily -clad cocktail waitress keeps bringing you, were paid for by parlay and teaser bettors. If you're looking to stay in the battle for the long haul and show a profit at the end of the season avoid parlays like the plague. If your goal is to turn a toothpick into a lumberyard then fire away.

6) DON'T PLAY TV GAMES JUST TO HAVE ACTION
How many times have you heard one friend turn to the other and ask "Who do you like in the Ram game John?" "I don't really have an opinion Bill, it's too tough a game for me." "What do you mean you don't have an opinion, the game is on TV?" Just because the game is on TV doesn't mean you have to bet on it. That's not listed in the rules anywhere I've ever seen. Security does not come around and check to see if you have a ticket on the game on the big screen. Keep an eye on TV games and you're likely to pick up something that will help you in the future.


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