NFL Betting Systems

We dug through our favorite bookmarks and came across a series of articles by Ernie Kaufman. Ernie has covered the betting scene way before the internet writing about football for the Gambling Times among others. These notes are from two 1999 articles with links to the original materials.

The Ten Rules of Football Wagering By Ernie Kaufman

A SELECTION...

+ Look to wager on the pointspread underdogs more often than the pointspread favorites.
+ Look to wager on home teams, especially underdogs, in all intradivisional games.
+ Wager against any NFL team that has a two or more game lead in their division standings at any point of the season.
+Wager on any underdog that has a better won-lost record (straight-up) than their opponent after the sixth week of the season.

Full article at Gambling Times

Why you should wager against the best by Ernie Kaufman

Wager against last year's Super Bowl winner during the 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th weeks of the regular football season. That's it! And the system is not in effect during the first week of play or in any other week after the 5th week of the season.

HOW TO 'PLAY' MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL by Ernie Kaufman
THE MONDAY NIGHT HOME TEAM
Wagering on the home team to cover the point spread on "Monday Night Football" has been a consistent moneymaker since the inception of the Monday games.

"PLAY THE MONDAY-NIGHT HOME UNDERDOG THROUGH THE ENTIRE SEASON"
The Monday Night home team is as "up" for the game as they can possibly be. They know they're getting national television exposure and, thus, they are not competing with teams who play on Sunday - coupled with the fact that you have an extremely partisan crowd rooting for the home team and you've got some strong medicine going for the team(s) in this situation.

THE SEPTEMBER SYSTEM(s)
SYSTEM #1: During the first four weeks of the NFL season, any home team cannot give any road team MORE THAN 7 POINTS (one touch-down).

SYSTEM #2: During the first week of the NFL season, any road team cannot give any home team ANY AMOUNT OF POINTS.